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APPFOLIO INC (APPF) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered strong topline and KPIs: revenue grew 21% year-over-year to $249.353M; total units under management rose 7% to 9.1M, and non-GAAP operating margin was 23.5% .
  • Versus consensus, revenue beat ($249.353M vs $245.390M*) but EPS missed ($1.31 vs $1.452*); EBITDA was below consensus ($40.482M* vs $73.933M*) as mix, AI infrastructure costs, and a bonus accrual compressed margins* .
  • Guidance raised for FY 2025 revenue to $945–$950M (from $935–$945M) but non-GAAP operating margin lowered to 23.5%–24.5% (from 24.5%–26.5%); diluted weighted average shares lowered to ~36M (from ~37M) .
  • Near-term catalysts: increasing premium tier adoption (Plus/Max), accelerating Realm‑X AI use cases, resident experience initiatives (FolioSpace, Onboarding Lift), and an investor meeting on November 18 that will detail AI and resident experience momentum .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue growth and VAS momentum: Revenue +21% y/y to $249.353M; Value Added Services +22% y/y to $192.092M, driven by risk mitigation, screening, online payments, and greater card usage .
  • KPI strength and customer expansion: Units under management reached 9.1M; customers 21,759 vs 20,403 a year ago (+7% for both), evidencing share gains .
  • Strategic AI/product execution: “Our Performance Platform, built on an AI-native architecture, drives real performance outcomes…our customers are winning.” – CEO Shane Trigg . Realm‑X Performers introduced to automate leasing, maintenance, and resident messaging, with measurable user outcomes (e.g., vacancies filled 5+ days faster, renewals +20%) .

What Went Wrong

  • Margin compression: GAAP operating margin fell to 14.1% (from 20.7% in Q3’24) and non‑GAAP operating margin to 23.5% (from 28.7% y/y), as cost of revenue rose to 36% of revenue (vs 34%) and operating expense mix increased .
  • Bonus accrual impact: An incremental ~$13M (5.5% of Q3 revenue) year‑to‑date bonus accrual depressed Q3 margins; excluding this, operating margin would have been ~29% .
  • EPS miss vs consensus and elevated AI infrastructure spend: Primary EPS missed consensus*, and rising data center spend to support growing AI capabilities added to cost pressures .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$205.733 $217.702 $235.575 $249.353
GAAP Operating Income ($USD Millions)$42.568 $33.783 $40.512 $35.046
GAAP Operating Margin %20.7% 15.5% 17.2% 14.1%
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($USD Millions)$59.135 $52.953 $61.610 $58.638
Non-GAAP Operating Margin %28.7% 24.3% 26.2% 23.5%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.90 $0.86 $0.99 $0.93
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.29 $1.21 $1.38 $1.31
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$57.770 $38.465 $52.643 $86.007

Segment Revenue Breakdown

Segment ($USD Millions)Q3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Core Solutions$46.030 $49.513 $52.473 $53.752
Value Added Services$157.726 $164.706 $180.145 $192.092
Other$1.977 $3.483 $2.957 $3.509

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Units Under Management (Millions)8.5 8.8 8.9 9.1
Customers20,403 21,759

Estimates vs Actuals

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)*$220.417 [GetEstimates]*$231.296 [GetEstimates]*$245.390 [GetEstimates]*
Revenue Actual ($USD Millions)$217.702 $235.575 $249.353
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)*$1.224 [GetEstimates]*$1.283 [GetEstimates]*$1.452 [GetEstimates]*
Primary EPS Actual ($USD)$1.21 $1.38 $1.31
EBITDA Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)*$59.972 [GetEstimates]*$64.000 [GetEstimates]*$73.933 [GetEstimates]*
EBITDA Actual ($USD Millions)*$40.038 [GetEstimates]*$46.362 [GetEstimates]*$40.482 [GetEstimates]*

Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2025$935–$945 $945–$950 Raised
Non-GAAP Operating Margin %FY 202524.5%–26.5% 23.5%–24.5% Lowered
Diluted Weighted Avg Shares (Millions)FY 2025~37 ~36 Lowered

Management framed lower margin guidance as driven by product mix, scaling sales capacity, increased spending to support AI/resident capabilities, and the bonus overattainment accrual .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/technology initiativesQ1: Invested to accelerate resident experience; connected LiveEasy with partners via FolioSpace . Q2: 96% of customers used one or more AI-powered solutions; expanding AI adoption .Introduced Realm‑X Performers (Leasing, Maintenance, Resident Messenger); AI‑native architecture emphasized; measurable outcomes (faster leasing, higher renewals) .Accelerating AI deployment with agentic capabilities; deeper integration driving usage and outcomes .
Resident experienceQ1: Strategy accelerated via FolioSpace and partnerships (Zillow, Second Nature) .Launched Resident Onboarding Lift with Second Nature; reimagined move‑in workflow; FolioSpace highlighted .Expanding tools and services at “moments that matter,” monetization via value-added services .
Revenue mix & VASQ1/Q2: VAS growth driven by screening, payments .VAS +22% y/y; increased card usage and contributions from LiveEasy and Second Nature .Mix shift toward VAS and premium tiers supporting topline .
Costs/marginsQ1/Q2: Non‑GAAP margins mid‑20s%; CORev % ~35% .CORev % rose to 36%; bonus accrual (~$13M) compressed margin; ex‑accrual margin ~29% .Elevated infrastructure spend for AI usage and mix effects pressuring margins .
Partnerships/ecosystemLiveEasy integration; newer partners mentioned (Zillow, Second Nature) .New Stack partner Procore; continued Second Nature collaboration .Broadening ecosystem to capture more workflows and value .
People/culture & leadershipCFO appointed (effective July 30) .Recognitions: Fortune Future 50; Best Workplaces in Technology . Departure of Chief Trust Officer announced .Employer brand strengthening; leadership transitions noted .

Management Commentary

  • Strategy: “Our Performance Platform, built on an AI-native architecture, drives real performance outcomes…Our success is aligned to our customers' success, and this quarter reflects that our customers are winning.” – Shane Trigg, CEO .
  • Financial drivers: “In Q3, we accrued an additional year-to-date expense of approximately $13 million…as a result of the performance levels we now expect to attain under our annual corporate bonus plan…Excluding [this], operating margin was approximately 29% of revenue.” – Tim Eaton, CFO .
  • Product outcomes: “Customers fully adopting Realm‑X are seeing…vacancies filled more than five days faster, renewal rates increasing by 20%, and NOI almost 3% higher…” – Shane Trigg .
  • Guidance rationale: Lower margin guidance reflects product mix, sales capacity growth, increased spending to support AI/resident capabilities, and bonus overattainment .

Q&A Highlights

  • The transcript provided prepared remarks and concluded without a detailed Q&A session; management emphasized margins, bonus accrual impacts, and AI strategy in prepared commentary .
  • Clarifications delivered: CFO quantified the bonus overattainment accrual (~$13M; 5.5% of Q3 revenue) and its margin effect; noted rising data center spend tied to AI usage and mix shifting costs upward .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025: Revenue beat ($249.353M vs $245.390M*), EPS missed ($1.31 vs $1.452*), and EBITDA undershot consensus ($40.482M* vs $73.933M*), reflecting higher cost of revenue (card mix), AI infrastructure spend, and the bonus accrual .
  • Sequentially: Q2 had beats on revenue and EPS vs consensus*; Q1 revenue slightly below consensus* while EPS was near inline* .
  • Implications: Street models likely raise FY revenue to new guidance range and trim near-term margin/EPS to reflect mix, AI infrastructure, and incentive costs; management’s ex-accrual commentary (~29% margin) provides a helpful reference point for normalized run-rate .

Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Durable topline trajectory: Revenue up 16%/19%/21% y/y in Q1/Q2/Q3 with continued unit growth and premium tier adoption supporting sustained momentum .
  • Mix shift to VAS and card usage: VAS +22% y/y with greater card payments and risk services; attractive growth, but raises cost of revenue percentage .
  • Margin headwinds explain EPS miss: Bonus overattainment (~$13M) and AI/data center spend pressured margins; ex‑accrual margin ~29% highlights underlying efficiency .
  • Guidance recalibration: FY revenue raised to $945–$950M while margin guided lower to 23.5%–24.5%; shares guided ~36M, reflecting buybacks .
  • Product/AI moat expanding: Realm‑X Performers and FolioSpace/Onboarding Lift deepen platform utility and monetization opportunities at key resident moments .
  • Watch near-term catalysts: November 18 investor meeting to detail AI/resident experience drivers; continued Plus/Max adoption and ecosystem partnerships (Procore, Second Nature) .
  • Risk checks: Elevated infrastructure costs and revenue mix may cap near-term margin upside; leadership transitions (CFO appointment; Chief Trust Officer departure) and operational execution remain areas to monitor .

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